Harris' candidacy has led to surge in Black voter enthusiasm. It could make a difference in swing states
abcnews.go.com
There's a surge of support for Harris from Black voters and organizers who could make up lost ground for Democrats in critical battleground states.

“Enthusiasm” has always been a “flex” for GOP these recent elections.

Is that similar to a noise meter at events?

The enthusiasm equals 2 football fields plus 6 cubits.

  • Zipitydew@sh.itjust.works
    7·
    4 months ago

    Wild levels of hopium.

    North Carolina maybe. Georgia and Pennsylvania again are going to be tough but reasonable to hope for.

    But Florida? Ronda won with 60% of the vote 2 years ago. Winning counties that had been traditionally blue.

    Florida continues to skew older and is accelerating in average age. Mass migration of retired Boomers continues to push the state harder conservative. They’re on pace for 1/3rd of the adults to be older than 65 in a couple years. It was 1/4 not that long ago.

    Number of registered Republicans has recovered since the pandemic. Is now nearly 1M above Democrats.

    • TropicalDingdong@lemmy.world
      22·
      4 months ago

      Oh dont get me wrong. Until I finish the work I have on my plate and can really dig into the data, its pure hopium.

      I was only able to run some very preliminary stats, but in the aggregate, a move in votership of 3-5% might be plenty. It was less of a difference than that which put Obama in the white house.

      But plenty doesn’t matter; where plenty happens is what matters.

      • Zipitydew@sh.itjust.works
        4·
        4 months ago

        When Obama was running Dems were 38% of registered voters. Republicans were at 34%.

        Florida has changed a lot since then. The first big wave of Boomer retirements hit in 2011. They’ve been piling into Florida for the past decade. Republicans now sit at 40% while Dems are at 32%.