Image is of the aftermath of an Israeli bombing of Beirut in 2006.
We are now almost one year into the war and genocide in Gaza. Despite profound hardship, the Gazan Resistance continues its battles against the enemy, entirely undeterred. Despite Israeli proclamations throughout 2024 that they have cleared out Hamas from various places throughout Gaza, we still see regular attacks and ambushes against Zionist forces. Just today (Monday), Al Qassam fighters ambushed and destroyed another convoy of Israeli vehicles. The predictions early on in the war were that Israel would defeat Hamas in mere months, needing only until December, then January, and so on. This has proven very much untrue. Israel is stuck in the mud; unable to destroy their enemy due to their lack of knowledge about the “Gaza Metro” and, of course, a lack of actual fighting skill, given how many times I’ve seen Zionists getting shot while they gaze wistfully out of windows.
The same quagmire will occur in Lebanon, only considerably worse. Both Nasrallah and Sinwar possess a similar strategy of luring Zionist forces onto known, friendly territory, replete with traps and ambushes, to bleed them dry of equipment, manpower, and the will to continue fighting. The scale of the invasion could fall anywhere on the spectrum from “very limited” - more of a series of raids on Hezbollah positions than truly trying to occupy land - to a total invasion which would seek to permanently take control of Southern Lebanon. Neither is likely to destroy, or even substantially diminish Hezbollah’s fighting abilities. This is not wishful thinking: Hezbollah has convincingly defeated Israel twice before in its history, pushing them from their territory, and both times Hezbollah had almost no missiles and a limited supply of other equipment, relying on improvisation as often as not. The Hezbollah of 2024 is an entirely different organization to that of the early 2000s.
Attempts to drive wedges between Hezbollah and the rest of Lebanon are also unlikely to succeed. Hezbollah is not just a military force, it is extremely interlinked into various communities throughout Lebanon, drawing upon those communities to recruit soldiers. Throughout its history, it has provided education, healthcare, reconstruction, and dozens of other services one would attribute to a state. Amal Saad’s recent suggestion of using “quasi-state actor” as a more respectful replacement for the typical “non-state actor” seems advisable. And the decentralized command structures, compartmented leadership, strong succession planning, and aforementioned community ties almost entirely neutralizes the effectiveness of assassinations. Hezbollah’s Deputy Secretary General Naim Qassem has confirmed that Hezbollah’s path has been set by Nasrallah, and his martyrdom will not stop nor even pause their efforts. Additionally, he confirmed that despite the recent attacks by Israel which nominally focussed on destroying missile depots, Hezbollah’s supply of weapons has not been degraded, and they are still only using the minimum of their capabilities.
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Last week’s thread is here.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on Israel’s destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia’s youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don’t want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it’s just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists’ side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR’s former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR’s forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster’s telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a ‘propaganda tax’, if you don’t believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
The IRGC has developed an undeclared technology to punish Israel - Tasnim (in Farsi)
The Revolutionary Guards have acquired new technology and equipment, which can give them a big surprise if the Zionist regime acts against our country.
Some informed sources told the defense reporter of Tasnim news agency that the reason for the IRGC’s patience for several weeks to punish the Zionist terrorists is to complete and develop some undeclared technologies that keep Iran in a completely superior position over the Zionists.
read more
According to these sources, during the past weeks, very sensitive and new information has been collected and missile systems have been updated in a way that will surprise and weaken Israel.
These sources say that the reason for not intercepting more than 90% of Iran’s missiles in the Operation Truthful Promise 2 are those new capability and technologies which important part of them have not been used yet.
Based on this, the IRGC is ready to make new surprises for the Zionists if they act.
End of message/
Biden - We will not support Israel, if they decide to hit Iran’s nuclear sites.
Implication being that they will support Israel as long as they don’t do that.
Also the other implication being that Israel have proposed this.
Can we like, save a link to this thread for future generations?
I want to remember these past two days always.
Don’t mind me just passing through with some
information.Both Kamala and Trump are dead even as far as the betting market is concerned
And pollsters are doing their song and dance
It would be somewhat funny if Trump again wins the EC but loses the popular vote.
Loving the good news around Iran’s long-awaited response. Happy to see zionists getting domed again.
I am a microbrain so I don’t usually post, but I was thinking about the bullshit ceasefire that Iran was offered. If Pezeshkian and the gang had just said “No, your words are worth nothing” and refused the offer, some ghoul would absolutely have been crowing about that and it probably would have been used as a propaganda argument, right?
Plus, the most immediate goal for the resistance is still to stop zionist soldiers from killing people in Gaza, the West Bank, Lebanon and elsewhere, right? Even if the US has a history of lying through their teeth all the time, this could have been the one time they actually were being honest, especially since I truly don’t think it benefits the US for Isntreal to be stomping around with their ground forces losing troops all over the place. So I guess, I can sort of see the devils-advocate logic for why Iranian leadership would at least be compelled to try to meet these losers halfway on a potential ceasefire, regardless of the history of lies. Maybe the thought was: finally, the US thinks Isntreal has gone too far?
Just spitballing so I’m curious to hear takes on this. For what it’s worth I’m also pretty sure the US just will not reign in its attack dog even when it would objectivelt benefit them. Biden just set the limit as Iranian nuclear sites…
Heavy clashes reported at Maroun Al Ras.
I strongly recommend people take a look at this village in 3d because it’s basically a natural fortress and Israel have to approach from the worst position possible.
View from Israeli approach side:
View from opposing side, looking downhill:
Is it just me or is the Teledyne clean room contamination actually a very big deal? Like, this stops all F-35 production globally for several months now, right?
If so those brave saboteurs will have to watch out for getting murdered by the state, honestly.
A military guy named Spider was talking to the anchor on CNN and he used “attrit” for attrition warfare. He seriously seemed joyful as he described “what Israeli’s proportional response should be.” I thought of some lyrics…
Woah, generals and majors always / Seem so unhappy 'less they got a war
-–
Ninja edit
I forgot how topical the chorus might be: Your World War III is drawing near
Iran Attacked “Israel” Only After U.S. Rejected Its Moderate Stance | Moon of Alabama
R/Lebanon was discussed on here recently. For further illustration, this is the top post on r/Lebanon right now:
This is top post on r/Lebanese
“A truth is to be known always, to be uttered sometimes. Your thought sees power in armies, cannons, battleships, submarines, aeroplanes, and poison gas.” Khalil Gibran
From Al Mayadeen:
Lebanese Resistance field source to Al Mayadeen: Heroic epic which our fighters are conducting against Israeli elite forces at several axes in South Lebanon resulted in killing, wounding of more than 80 soldiers, officers; almost five tanks destroyed.
Iran warns “Israel”: ‘Any miscalculation will lead to your sudden collapse’ | The Cradle
“Our armed forces have devised a surprise plan for the enemies, and our next response will be on a completely different level. If the Zionist entity tries to attack Iran, it will quickly disappear and collapse,” Qalibaf added, warning Washington “to tighten the collar of its rabid dog [“Israel”] so that it does not harm itself and cause trouble for its owner.”
I’ve to wonder, how far does Israel wants to go? Palestine->Lebanon->Syria->Iraq->Iran->Pakistan->India ?
Both Pakistan and India are nuclear states so…
Maybe I’m thinking way too far ahead, so far that Israel won’t even exist then.
