Summary
Geoffrey Hinton, the “Godfather of AI,” warns of a 10-20% chance that AI could cause human extinction within 30 years, citing the rapid pace of development and the likelihood of creating systems more intelligent than humans.
Hinton emphasized that such AI could evade human control, likening humans to toddlers compared to advanced AI.
He called for urgent government regulation, arguing that corporate profit motives alone cannot ensure safety.
This stance contrasts with fellow AI expert Yann LeCun, who believes AI could save humanity rather than threaten it.
An AI actually more intelligent than humans is probably not a huge threat, many of the mutual cooperation things that make humans work semi-well together apply to an AI. Likewise, an LLM is unlikely to cause any problems just by existing.
Instead, I think the big danger is something like an LLM that convinces people that its smarter than they are (probably by being able to recite more facts than they can, or offering copy/paste explanations of advance topics), and is then put into more and more places of trust.
Once it’s there, we have the open possibility that something “weird” happens, and many many devices, controls, etc simultaneously react poorly to novel inputs. Depending on the type of systems, and how widespread an issue it is, that could cause extremely large problems. Military systems might be the worst possibility for this.
Ai is less of a threat than climate change. But we get both anyhow.
AI will wipe out humanity, but not directly. It will take the form of causing massive acceleration of climate change, draining the potable water supply, etc.
All for our hubris.
Good. Humanity is a failed experiment.
AI will not cause human extinction.
Humans will cause human extinction by being complete dumbfucks. AI may simply be the tool we use
I am so much less worried about being wiped out by artificial intelligence than the kind that evolved biologically.
Or the lack thereof.
Artificial intelligence will never surpass natural stupidity they say
Honestly, it’d be something of a relief. I like that future far more than the path we’re currently headed down.
I’m confused, is AI a dumb parrot that is good at spitting out convincing bullshit, or is AI a sentient genius that will destroy us all? Every article and comment about it is one or the other, and it can’t be both.
LLMs are the former. And we’re probably at least one breakthrough away from building something that can actually think. Not helping things is that we don’t know what thinking actually is.
I’m in favor of human extinction. It’s not personal, it’s just better for the universe if we stop existing.
Hinton emphasized that such AI could evade human control, likening humans to toddlers compared to advanced AI. … This stance contrasts with fellow AI expert Yann LeCun, who believes AI could save humanity rather than threaten it.
Contrary to what the reporting suggests, these views don’t seem to be contradicting each other. Yann LeCun says AI could save humanity, while Geoffrey Hinton says that, in the absence of strong government regulation, AI companies will not develop it safely. Both of these things can be true.
There’s a few ways AI could go
- It’s completely indifferent to us, ignores us completely and does its own thing
- Someone takes a shot and we end up in a war ala the matrix
- AI sees us as needing it and takes over like it does in the polity novels
Realistically 1 is best case as 3 would cause civil war as governments lose power.
The only problem with 1 is it inevitably leads to 2 as we are ignorant idiots
It would be a mercy killing at this point.
Will AI extinction be more pleasant than human caused extinction?
this how I feel. whelp there is the definite extinction we are accelerating into and then the possibility of an existentail extinction from other sources.
Humanity is far more likely to be wiped out by Natural Stupidity.
Unless somebody makes tens of thousands of super soldier bodies that require no recharging and are powered by AI CPUs I don’t think we have a lot to worry about.
I don’t think AI will either destroy or save humanity, it’s just a tool.
Sure accidents may be caused by connecting AI to dangerous things like power plants, but we can still pull the plug.
Points to the upcoming drone wars
