European intelligence suggests that Russia may launch an attack on Europe during the winter of 2024-2025 if the United States finds itself “without a leader” following the 2024 U.S. presidential election, the German tabloid Bild reported on Dec. 23, citing an anonymous European intelligence source.

  • TadeuszBonawentura@kbin.social
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    6 months ago

    I understand many here still thinking that if Russia did not conquer all Ukraine in three days, it means it lost. But right now putin in the winning position. Russia annexed four oblasts, created Azov sea it’s inner lake, and have ability to demand ceasefire on its terms. I can see how western countries in fatigue could force Ukraine to start peace talks. Meanwhile russia actively working on help Trump win. Also if AfD would win next year, there is big chance one of the major european workhorses will also took russian side. We could not count Orban’s Hungary and Slovakia on west side right now already, and both those countries are bordering Ukraine. If russia really plan that attack, they could use shock tactics, like using nuclear weapon that settled down in Belarus to nuke Poland. After neutralizing it, meat assaults of Baltic states is not so hard, unfortunately, considering population’s disproportion. Do not underestimate your military counterpart. And right now russia is the one.

      • TadeuszBonawentura@kbin.social
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        6 months ago

        Or you prefer copium to reality. The problem today is, every solution except full defeat putin still can sell as his win. And right now he have much more than that. That’s why he sends signals about ceasefire. He believes he already is the winner. The most strange and depressing in this situation, it is not Ukraine but western allies acting like they’re exhausted, although they didn’t do anything actually. It is not their blood that is shed right now in the name of the freedom. While supplies of armaments from US and EU have dried up, Iran and North Korea do it without the problem. Yes, russia can’t move line of the front, but Ukraine is in the same position. And Ukrainians admitting that russians could learn and unfortunately doing it alright. Zaluzhny in his interview said there’s need in something new like invention of gunpowder, to broke the stalemate. But there is no even arms deliveries in the same volume as it were before. I do believe to the words of Fiona Hill, that republicans, while they think they frame Biden in the election year, actually ruining image of America as whole. Mike Johnson could play new Moses as much as he want, but Ukraine starting to look new recruits among those who escaped. At the same time I do not see russians have problems with meat assaults. Did Johnson thought what would it be, when meat will go forward but there wouldn’t be more ammo? I suppose he don’t care, because all he want is to part the waves in front of Trump.
        Ukraine need constant flow of arm supplies, and they need to have the right to shoot these weapons to targets inside russia. Both those needs already are more wishful thinking, than feasible possibilities. But go ahead, underestimate your military counterpart further.

    • Unaware7013@kbin.social
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      6 months ago

      I understand many here still thinking that if Russia did not conquer all Ukraine in three days, it means it lost. But right now putin in the winning position.

      Man, the level of cope here is fucking hilarious.

    • Ooops@kbin.social
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      6 months ago

      I can see how western countries in fatigue could force Ukraine to start peace talks.

      What fatigue? Do you expect them to say “hey, we spend billions on increasing production capacities. Now we are tired from all that hard work and will just disassemble instead of using them?”