Tom Suozzi, a former Democratic congressman, won a closely watched special House election in New York on Tuesday, narrowing the Republican majority in Washington and offering his party a potential playbook to run in key suburban swing areas in November.
His victory in the Queens and Long Island district avenged a year of humiliation unleashed by the seat’s former occupant, George Santos, and stanched a trend that had seen Republicans capture nearly every major election on Long Island since 2021.
Mr. Suozzi, 61, fended off the Republican nominee, Mazi Pilip, in a race that became an expensive preview of many of the fights expected to dominate November’s general election, especially over the influx of migrants at the border and in New York City.
So that is something like 13 out of the last 16 special elections that the GOP has lost.
Unfortunately, these by-elections tend to be happening in uncompetitive constituencies. This one was actually a marginal seat.
It’s good, of course, but compare it to the UK where the Labour Party and Liberal Democrats have been overturning huge majorities in previously safely Conservative seats and the US Democrats seem to be the runt of the litter.
Only because you aren’t thinking of the bigger picture.
With the new, fair maps in 4 states for the 2024 election, this actually is a big deal when you are talking about control of the House.
And as the article states, Democrats can pass bills with only 2 GOP defections now.
There is a theory that Democrats now have the majority of high propensity voters, such as high education voters. A decade ago it was the reverse, and Republicans would win most special elections and midterms.