Tomorrow Today(!), 3/5, is the biggest primary day of all, Super Tuesday!
There will be a lot going on in multiple time zones. Let’s keep everything organized here so as to not over-run the board.
Here are the votes, sorted by timezone. In general we’ll start seeing results just after the polls close around 8 PM local time.
And here we go! First results coming in!
Eastern Time:
Maine
87% Republicans reporting, called for Trump.
Donald Trump - 72.4% - 70,830 votes Nikki Haley - 25.9% - 25,321 votes
Ron DeSantis - 1.1% - 1,050 votes
Vivek Ramaswamy - 0.4% - 425 votes
Ryan Binkley - 0.3% - 271 votes
84% Democrats reporting, called for Biden.
Joe Biden - 92.9% - 55,506 votes
Dean Phillips - 7.1% - 4,262 votes
Massachusetts - Option for “Uncommitted”
78% Republican reporting, called for Trump.
Donald Trump - 60% - 300,785 votes Nikki Haley - 36.8% - 184,390 votes
No Preference - 1% - 4,965 votes
Chris Christie - 0.9% - 4,535 votes
Ron DeSantis - 0.7% - 3,639 votes
Vivek Ramaswamy - 0.3% - 1,503 votes
Ryan Binkley - 0.2% - 948 votes
Asa Hutchinson - 0.2% - 824 votes
82% Democrats reporting, called for Biden.
Joe Biden - 82.8% - 467,017 votes
No Preference - 9.4% - 53,262 votes
Dean Phillips - 4.6% - 25,889 votes
Marianne Williamson - 3.2% - 17,807 votes
North Carolina
99% Republicans reporting, Trump called.
Donald Trump - 73.9% - 790,750 votes
Nikki Haley - 23.3% - 249,651 votes Ron DeSantis - 1.4% - 14,690 votes
No Preference - 0.7% - 7,386 votes
Vivek Ramaswamy - 0.3% - 3,400 votes
Chris Christie - 0.3% - 3,151 votes
Ryan Binkley - <0.1% - 905 votes
Asa Hutchinson - <0.1% - 723 votes
98% Democratic reporting, called for Biden.
Joe Biden - 87.3% - 606,302 votes
No Preference - 12.7% - 88,021 votes
Vermont
99% Republicans reporting, Halley called(!)
Nikki Haley - 49.9% - 36,030 votes
Donald Trump - 45.9% - 33,140 votes
Ron DeSantis - 1.6% - 1,140 votes
Chris Christie - 1.5% - 1,112 votes
Vivek Ramaswamy - 0.8% - 546 votes
Ryan Binkley - 0.4% - 277 votes
99% reporting, called for Biden.
Joe Biden - 89.5% - 56,906 votes
Marianne Williamson - 4.5% - 2,885 votes
Dean Phillips - 3% - 1,933 votes
Mark Greenstein - 1.2% - 778 votes
Cenk Uygur - 1.1% - 697 votes
Jason Palmer - 0.6% - 410
Virginia
36% Democratic reporting, called for Biden.
Joe Biden - 88.6% - 136,517 votes
Marianne Williamson - 7.8% - 12,016 votes
Dean Phillips - 3.6% - 5,515 votes
71% Republican reporting, called for Trump.
Donald Trump - 66.2% - 285,613 votes
Nikki Haley - 31.9% - 137,572 votes
Ron DeSantis - 1.1% - 4,550 votes
Chris Christie - 0.4% 1,884 votes
Vivek Ramaswamy - 0.4% - 1,613 votes
Ryan Binkley 0.1% 449 votes
Tennessee + Central - Option for “Uncommitted”
Central Time:
Alabama - Option for “Uncommitted”
93% Republican reporting, called for Trump.
Donald Trump - 83.2% - 497,373 votes
Nikki Haley - 13% - 77,548 votes
Uncommitted - 1.6% - 9,750 votes
Ron DeSantis - 1.4% - 8,421 votes
Vivek Ramaswamy - 0.3% - 1,859 votes
Chris Christie - 0.2% - 1,436 votes
David Stuckenberg - 0.1% - 747 votes Ryan Binkley - <0.1% - 508 votes
93% Democratic reporting, called for Biden.
Joe Biden - 89.2% - 165,800 votes Uncommitted - 6% - 11,099 votes
Dean Phillips - 4.9% - 9,072 votes
Arkansas
59% Republicans reporting, called for Trump.
Donald Trump - 75.4% - 169,354 vote s
Nikki Haley - 19.6% - 44,116 votes
Asa Hutchinson - 2.9% - 6,513 votes
Ron DeSantis - 1.3% - 2,832 votes
Vivek Ramaswamy - 0.3% - 761 votes
Chris Christie - 0.2% - 534 votes
Ryan Binkley - <0.1% - 160 votes
Doug Burgum - <0.1% - 130 votes
David Stuckenberg - <0.1% - 124 votes
60% Democrats reporting, called for Biden.
Joe Biden - 88.7% - 63,683 votes
Marianne Williamson - 4.8% - 3,453 votes
Dean Phillips - 2.8% - 2,029 votes
Stephen Lyons - 1.6% - 1,178 votes
Armando Perez-Serrato - 1.1% - 761 votes
Frankie Lozada - 1% - 705 votes
Iowa - Called for Biden. 97% reporting.
Joe Biden - 90.9% - 11,083 votes
Uncommitted - 3.9% - 480 votes
Dean Phillips - 3% - 362 votes
Marianne Williamson - 2.2% - 268 votes
Minnesota - Option for “Uncommitted”
99% Republicans reporting, Trump called.
Donald Trump - 69.1% - 232,850 votes
Nikki Haley - 28.8% - 97,202 votes
Ron DeSantis - 1.2% 4,109 votes
Vivek Ramaswamy - 0.4% - 1,492 votes
Chris Christie - 0.4% - 1,449 votes
98% Democrats reporting, Biden called.
Joe Biden - 70.6% - 171,271 votes
Uncommitted - 18.9% - 45,942 votes
Dean Phillips - 7.8% - 18,994 votes
Marianne Williamson - 1.4% - 3,487 votes
Jason Palmer - 0.3% - 795 votes
Cenk Uygur - 0.3% - 721 votes
Armando Perez-Serrato - 0.2% - 402 votes
Gabriel Cornejo - 0.1% - 355 votes
Frankie Lozada - 0.1% - 327 votes
Eban Cambridge - 0.1% - 269 votes
Oklahoma
98% Republican reporting, Trump called.
Donald Trump - 81.8% - 254,688 votes
Nikki Haley - 15.9% - 49,373 votes
Ron DeSantis - 1.3% - 3,942 votes
Chris Christie - 0.4% - 1,095 votes
Vivek Ramaswamy - 0.3% - 1,020 votes
Asa Hutchinson - 0.1% - 431 votes
David Stuckenberg - 0.1% - 397 votes
Ryan Binkley - <0.1% - 303 votes
98% Democratic reporting, called for Biden.
Joe Biden - 73% - 66,824 votes
Marianne Williamson - 9.1% - 8,349 votes
Dean Phillips - 8.9% - 8,177 votes
Stephen Lyons - 4.8% - 4,435 votes
Cenk Uygur - 2.2% - 1,971votes
Armando Perez-Serrato - 2% - 1,805 votes
Texas + Mountain
85% Republicans reporting, Trump called.
Donald Trump - 78.1% - 1,709,131 votes
Nikki Haley - 17.1% - 375,035 votes
Uncommitted - 2% - 43,128 votes
Ron DeSantis - 1.6% - 34,270 votes
Vivek Ramaswamy - 0.5% - 10,083 votes
Chris Christie - 0.4% - 8,478 votes
Asa Hutchinson - 0.1% - 2,952 votes
Ryan Binkley - 0.1% - 2,402 votes
David Stuckenberg - <0.1% - 2,167 votes
82% Democrats reporting, Biden called.
Joe Biden - 84.6% - 740,167 votes
Marianne Williamson - 4.4% - 38,491 votes
Armando Perez-Serrato - 3% - 25,843 votes
Dean Phillips - 2.7% - 23,890 votes
Gabriel Cornejo - 1.8% - 15,682 votes
Cenk Uygur - 1.5% - 13,525 votes
Frankie Lozada - 1.1% - 10,057 votes
Star Locke - 0.9% - 7,720 votes
Mountain Time:
Colorado - Option for “Uncommitted”
Utah
Pacific Time:
California
Other:
Alaska (Pacific -1 hour)
American Samoa (Pacific -3 hours)
I think the biggest lesson tonight is it’ll be political malpractice if Biden doesn’t pour a bunch of resources into NC. For a closed primary, those exit polls are suggesting a huge amount of Haley voters are persuadable.
It’s funny, because my inclination would be “you’re on crack”, but if you look at the primary numbers:
Donald Trump - 73.9% - 790,750 votes
Nikki Haley - 23.3% - 249,651 votes
Joe Biden - 87.3% - 606,302 votes
184,448 votes separates Biden from Trump.
So if 73.88% of Haley voters defect, that could post a Biden win in NC.
Still seems like a high bar.
I was reading exactly that actually: 81% of them refuse to vote for Trump if Haley isn’t the nominee. It’s surprisingly doable just from the primary numbers.
Edit: Also, Republicans nominated a literal Holocaust denier for the governor candidate. That’s gonna make that race A LOT easier and maybe effect the entire ballot there.
Refusing to vote for Trump isn’t the same as voting for Biden though. He has to convince them to flip, not just stay home.
Neat how that’s never the case when the two are reversed.
“No Preference” got just over 88,000 votes, and I’d say the vast majority of those people will (grudgingly, perhaps) vote for Biden in the general, so that narrows it down to ~100,000 votes separating Biden from Trump. Half of Haley voters flipping would do it, which, given the circumstances, I don’t think is unrealistic.
Also, I’m betting that turnout for the primary doesn’t reflect the turnout in the general because I suspect Republicans had more incentive to show up for this primary - if ‘uncommitted’ wasn’t an option in my state, I wouldn’t have bothered to get out of bed for this primary, because there’s no real race, and there’s likely no power vacuum if Biden dies in his sleep tonight - Harris becomes president and the presumptive Democrat nominee. Haley is staying in because if Trump dies in his sleep tonight, the Republicans have a problem. Also, I suspect if you’ve drank the Trump Flavor Aid, you’d be pretty thrilled to vote for him whenever you’re given the chance.
EDIT: Are there any actuaries on Lemmy that can give the exact odds for a guaranteed first elected female president of color in the US? (Assuming the Republicans go with Haley if Trump dies.)