Even though most voters say that the case against the former president is “strong,” they don’t want to see him serving jail time

Even though most voters say that the case against the former president is “strong,” they don’t want to see him serving jail time

  • FlowVoid@kbin.social
    5·
    1 year ago

    It’s silly to judge a polling outfit solely on the politics of their CEO.

    FWIW, 538 gave Harris a “B” grade with 83% accuracy in 2020. If anything, Harris seemed to overestimate Biden’s support (eg they predicted Trump would lose FL and NC).

    • Alue42@kbin.social
      5·
      1 year ago

      Their accuracy of their election prediction is separate from their polling bias. I mentioned in a higher comment that their polling technique has been described as “when Harvard Poll meets Fox News” and that they “cherrypick to advance agendas”

      • FlowVoid@kbin.social
        2·
        1 year ago

        This article does talk about “When a Harvard poll meets Fox News”, but it’s criticizing Fox News’s distortion of a Harris poll, not the poll itself (i.e., “How Fox News and conservative media outlets are using a recent Harvard Poll to support their own election narrative.”)

        And Penn is actually the one complaining about those who “cherry pick to advance agendas”. He specifically objected to Fox cherry picking his poll to say that voters prefer a “law and order” candidate like Trump.

        Mark J. Penn ’76, a visiting lecturer at Harvard University and leading pollster for the Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll, explains that Fox News’s claim that poll results reflected a positive response to “law and order” messaging “is not the full context of the story.” “Look, articles like this take things out of context,” he continues. “They’re written to make a political point. That’s not the whole picture.”

        Penn, a former Crimson news editor, believes that the correct analysis of the poll is that “BLM and the police, frankly, have much better images than” both Biden and Trump. The poll finds that 67 percent of respondents view the police either favorably or very favorably, and 51 percent of respondents view Black Lives Matter favorably or very favorably. In comparison, 44 percent and 48 percent of respondents had a favorable or somewhat favorable view of Trump and Biden, respectively.

        “I didn’t cooperate with that article,” Penn says when asked about his thoughts on the Fox News story. “It’s unfortunate that people cherry pick [the poll] and use it to advance agendas.

        • Alue42@kbin.social
          3·
          1 year ago

          Thank you for showing where that phrase was used in writing, but that is not the only time he has been pointed out for the irony of his juxtaposition. He is a former pollster for the Clintons that became very “trumpy” (to use Politico’s word) and instead of being on all news shows the only one that would bring him on is Fox.

          The thing about polling is that one can write the questions in order to get the answers they want or need and data can be extracted to portray what is needed. Without the raw data, we really don’t know what was asked or how the data portrayed was pulled.