Lenins2ndCat

Just discovered the displayname feature.

  • 5 Posts
  • 80 Comments
Joined 4 years ago
cake
Cake day: January 29th, 2020

help-circle













  • The Russian economy is worse off

    What metric are you using to determine this?

    the war will end with Russia getting at most Crimea

    This would require the complete and total collapse of Russia and the formation of a new country. Crimea, Donetsk and Luhansk are legally Russia under Russian law. There is no mechanism via which they can be ceded. When everyone eventually sits down at the table they legally can not be put on it by the negotiators that form the Russian side.

    I personally think Russia will take everything south of the Dnipro river then hand over the parts that are not Donbass as a political means of showing that the west won against them in some way.

    Even if there were a mechanism by which these could be tabled I don’t see why they would. They are winning, the counteroffensive is achieving absolutely zero, support is very low across Europe and there is very little evidence that their gains will stop.

    What mechanism are you thinking of here? Serious question. How? The only way what you’re claiming will happen could possibly occur is via a massive pushback, but that’s clearly not happening. You’d need nato to deploy and to kick off ww3 properly.

    a coup in the US is completely unrealistic as of now.

    I know. But the factionalism and divisions make it more likely than in Russia at the present moment in time. That was the point, to highlight that is incredibly unrealistic to expect it to happen in Russia after we’ve just had a demonstration of failure with almost no division barring the tantrum that occurred.


  • Oh wow this thread goes way back. I know what happened here it wasn’t defederation but simply Beehaw doing it’s ideological thing. I was banned on their instance because I am a socialist much like every other socialist that makes an account here and attempts to post or comment over there.

    They alos claim they only defederate for “hate speech” but this is nonsense. They have Hexbear defederated and yet that is the only instance in the entire fediverse with visible pronouns next to usernames, and they crack down far harder on hate speech than any other instance that exists.

    The reality of Beehaw is that they are an ideologically motivated neoliberal instance that repress any opposition while pretending that they do not.

    EDIT: OH and the irony of their defederation with Hexbear is that it’s not even federated with ANYONE as it was using a fork of Lemmy without federation until very recently.



  • Ah man. I’m not sure where I did that this time. Tell me what’s grated you and I’ll take it back. I thought I gave you a pretty explanatory response.

    Is it because I keep calling american liberals right wing? I thought the last portion of my comment explained quite well what a real left looks like, that’s our left, those are our luke-warm mainstream folks with their socdem policies of welfare capitalism saying all the things that would get you called a tankie on reddit. That’s the soft-left of the UK, not even the hard-left.


  • I think we’re going to end up talking past each other as we disagree and there’s a few things we’d just end up repeating over and over so forgive me for skipping a chunk here. I will respond to this though:

    destroying the economy even further

    “Even further” is an odd choice here. The Russian economy is stronger now than before the war sanctions. The sanctions failed miserably, everything that Russia could no longer get from the west it simply gets from South East Asia (China/India mainly) and the Middle East now. Reddit thinks there was some great economic smashing of Russia but it really horribly failed.

    Winning the war is unrealistic at this time, would take a long time

    “Winning” here is more a question of when parties will get round a table to negotiate again. The war almost ended in April but Boris Johnson put a stop to the deal that would have done that. It could end quickly, it could also take a long time, dependent almost entirely on how long the west wants to drag it out as a proxy war for. There is also the question of whether the US and EU might pivot to a focus on China, which would also result in getting round a table to end the Ukraine war first as they simply do not have the means to focus on both at once.

    And about the USA, yeah that’s a bit of a whataboutism. There is a lot of division there and I think they are one bad president away from significantly worsening the situation. We will see about that too I guess.

    It’s not really whatabout. It’s just useful to have a comparative baseline for “division” to understand what is necessary to create and succeed in a coup. Do you think one would succeed in the US under the current conditions? What factions and groups would need to be involved? This thought experiment is useful for understanding the kind of divisions, alliances and coalitions necessary to making a coup succeed elsewhere. It helps ground your thoughts in a more material reality rather than the fantasies peddled in the media circuit.



  • i’m not particularly interested in unpacking the psychology of Putin

    We’ve swapped from discussing the actual concept of power, factions and influential forces that lead to a country going in one direction or another to “putin”.

    Do you think that this war would not have happened if a different leader existed? Which politician in United Russia would not have started this war? Which politician in the communist party? Anyone?

    Get past the idea that this war was caused by one man. There are material causes and forces at work that go beyond that. Once you get past that then you can start to understand how and why things happen, something that is extremely useful in avoiding its outcome next time - something I absolutely want to see happen but also something I am not sure americans are capable of given that you’ve supported every single forever war america has ever engaged in.

    and if "Stirring the pot remains your intention rather than calm, rational discourse, I suggest you try antagonizing someone else.

    Hmmm I do have a somewhat constructive motivation, I’m trying to change the context a little. One thing I’ve found with my interactions on reddit is that americans don’t tend to have an understanding of the left at all, given that the democrats are to the right of our right-wing. A lot of them say things like they want a nice welfare state but have no understanding of how radical the left has to be in order to achieve one, or to defend its existence. Jeremy Corbyn defends the USSR publicly and loudly. Diane Abbot has defended Mao on national TV. John McDonald publicly states “it is my job to overthrow capitalism”. Frankie Boyle says we shouldn’t be violent, we shouldn’t do anything illegal, instead we should make it legal to kill all the capitalists, on national TV with the BBC funded by the taxpayer. My point in stirring a bit is to draw a little more attention to the culture differences we have. Because Americans often seem to mistakenly think they have a left when they don’t, and I’ve found that drawing attention to these significant baseline differences sometimes inspires a bit more curiosity in american liberals to understand it.


  • And the point of answering why it happened is because it is a necessary component of finding the solution.

    Let’s try this instead, so that we’re not focused on me and we’re in an area that’s a bit more constructive: Why do you think the war happened? What caused it?

    I don’t think I’ve insulted liberals that much here but for the sake of stirring the pot this is the general sentiment toward them in my city: It might help some culture differences going on here.


  • Let’s keep it calm yeah? Keep in mind that nothing either of us do or say here matters and there is zero need for it to get emotional. There’s no need whatsoever for this to turn nasty and it’d be a shame if it did.

    edit: something that has always fascinated me is how someone could so ardently claim to be a “Marxist” while going to such lengths to defend the actions of an oligarchic autarch of a strictly capitalist and fascist country.

    Nobody has said that. However calling it a fascist country is just a complete misunderstanding of fascism. There is a faction of fascists in Russia, Navalny being a core figure among them. Putin and his faction are authoritarians, deeply unpleasant people, but fascists they are not and misusing the word is misguided. We should use it accurately.

    I’ve also not defended them. I’ve said what the left’s interpretation of the causes of this war are. You’ve turned that into “defender of russia” yourself. I can assure you that I and none of the other people I reeled off on that list are fans of the russian state. I want an end to the war, and I didn’t want a state to it either. The difference between our factions is that liberals seem to think more guns and more bombs end wars, whereas socialists do not.

    well, when the fact that the illegal Russian invasion of Ukraine is what started the war is what’s inconvenient, that’s when “narratives” and “interpretations” assert themselves to deflect blame and cast aspersions upon others who some happen not to like for whatever reason.

    You’re doing the “narrative” here. You can’t stop yourself from talking like a deeply propagandised individual, this phrase “illegal Russian invasion of Ukraine” is not how normal people talk, it’s precisely the language used to set a narrative, and is repeated over and over and over and over in liberal media as part of media collaboration with western interests to set this as the official line of the west and deeply engrain it in its populations. With that said this is a particularly american turn of phrase and is not one used in Europe after the pushback against it succeeded, resulting in at least a little more nuance in our regional politics on the matter.

    It, however, doesn’t change the facts of the matter, regardless of how many straw men, ad hominem, whataboutisms, or other logical fallacies get bandied about.

    That Russia invaded? Yes certainly. But without the context, without understanding the forces in play, without understanding the influences and the historical context you can’t tell me WHY russia invaded. And that’s the thing here. The liberal explanation of why is just “Because Putin grrrrr, conqueror!”, which is I think something you must agree is not really an adequate or academic explanation.


  • People should pay attention to these incidents of corporate security-state forces performing these kinds of actions against individual targets. It is a matter of time before individual targetting expands to widespread activity. Such “intelligence services” in corporate organisations will expand in power in much the same way intelligence services expand in power in government organisations. They function the same way as the security state does.