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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: June 11th, 2023

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  • MjbtoUnited KingdomSome good news for mortgage holders
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    1 year ago

    Rates are not going back to sub-2% for a long time

    I disagree quite strongly.

    Economies limping along at ~1% GDP growth per year and little or no GDP per capita growth can’t handle larger base rates for long. It’s a self-correcting cycle - if base rates remain elevated for too long discretionary spending will collapse and many, many businesses/loans/credit with it.

    Rishi promised to half inflation not because he’s a financial genius with a secret trick, but because he knows two things: 1) what I said above, 2) inflation is often given as a YoY measure, so by December 2023 we’re measuring inflation above the 10% inflation of December last year, and the country can’t afford 10% inflation per year for long either.



  • It is proposing a new licence condition to “ensure electricity generators don’t take advantage of existing rules to make excessive profits”

    Why? If you want an energy market you shouldn’t be surprised when it does what it can to grow profits, including withholding supply to sell later at higher prices.

    This is typical of the past 10-15 years. Plasters on gaping wounds. Energy providers should be competing to sell us their energy generation capabilities. Competition drives down prices in the long run, not intervention. Of course, the lack of an energy strategy or any investment into one for a decade does leave us a bit… well, fucked.








  • There’s been a thousand predictions of house prices falling over the past decade for a hundred reasons, and every single one falls over the fact we have a drastic shortage of housing and no credible plan to increase the speed we build them.

    25-30% in real terms is pure fantasy pulled from your arse and it’ll never happen, not even close. Does Lemmy have a remindme bot so I can come back in 6/12 months and point this out?


  • They’re gonna get crucified at GE.

    Food costs creep up, you notice the cost has gone up bit by bit and maybe your butter costs 50p more, you grumble and you put it in your basket anyway. Rice has gone up 35p but you use it often so you grab a packet anyway, 35p is annoying but it’s only 35p.

    Mortgage? For most people that goes up in one big bang from a 2% fix to a 5.5%. You’re now paying £200+/month more and there’s nothing you can do about it. Worse yet, you either fix and possibly fuck yourself over if rates start dropping or go variable hoping rates decrease sooner than later but stomach any increases before they do.

    Yeah, Tories never deserved their “good with money and the economy” reputation, but they’re killing it themselves anyway.





  • MjbtoWorld News@lemmy.mlRussia admits to running low
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    2 years ago

    Under 0.5 nukes used: 1/1000000000 Over 0.5 nukes used: 1000000000/1

    No-one, not even Russia, is going to cross that line. This is a regional conflict with casualties in the tens of thousands. WW3 was a global conflict with casualties in the tens of millions.