• 11 Posts
  • 34 Comments
Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: July 21st, 2023

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  • If you don’t understand the study itself or in general if you’re interested in it, it’s always a good idea to also read a good news report on it; see this and also this. They found carrot intake rather than beta-carotene, the focus of prior studies, has this association and figure 6 was just to show that they don’t have much data on daily intake of a carrot or more.















  • Danke für die ausführliche Argumentation. Bis dato ist mir unklar wieso man rational gegen diese Widerspruchslösung sein könnte, von daher ist das sehr interessant. Halte dein Hauptargument aber für falsch:

    es würde die Zahl der Spender nicht nur minimal sondern fast maximal erhöhen. Die 13 Fälle, die du hier nennst, beziehen sich ja auf die Fälle, die bei der aktuellen Opt-In-Lösung in Betracht gezogen wurden. Wenn man die Zahlen aktueller frühzeitiger Todesfälle anschaut sind die Zahlen möglicher Spender deutlich höher. Man kann dann beispielsweise direkt die Transplantationsprozesse einleiten (sofern nicht im Opt-Out Register gefunden): entnehmen, konservieren, Empfänger kontaktieren, etc. Die weiteren Probleme die es sicher auch gibt, benötigen zur Lösung dennoch erst mal die Einführung des Opt-In-Systems.

    Wenn die Widerspruchslösung so populär ist, dann kann man sie doch einfach einführen. Dann kann man sich danach um die verbleibenden Probleme kümmern, da dieses Problem dann wegfällt und die verbleibenden Probleme einfacher zu lösen sind (d.h. bei Opt-In Systemen kann der Prozentsatz der Fälle “Bis die Entnahmeteams in der richtigen Klinik und die Organe entnommen sind, sind sie längst nicht mehr zu gebrauchen” schnell substanziell reduziert werden).








  • Yes (200k–300.000), that’s why it says pre-humans…we didn’t arise out of nowhere, it was a continuous evolution and it seems like if those had died out we wouldn’t be here. (However, that’s not settled, there are substantial reasonable doubts over these results as hinted at with “While alternative explanations are possible” and elaborated in the other comments here.)

    Good question, it wasn’t a warming and even if it was, I don’t think it can easily be translated to today’s climate change. They refer to the Early-to-Middle Pleistocene Transition (not much info at that page though). If it’s linked, that doesn’t mean it caused it – I think people in that regard far too often think of (especially singular) causes instead of contributors within a complex interconnected set of causal factors. Maybe you’re interested in this non-included paper from the same month which projects an upcoming large sudden population decline – it’s just not substantiated and one can’t just compare modern humans with other animal populations.



  • Thank you, will look into this. I had my doubts when I first heard about this but even with these sources I still think the study is significant beyond the large attention (and that itself is also a factor). I don’t think there’s much doubt that “The precision of the findings, though, may be a stretch” is true which doesn’t invalidate the study and like a critic said “The conclusions, she says, “though intriguing, should probably be taken with some caution and explored further.”

    Also consider that I usually have 8 main tiles and two brief ones, the only other alternative main tiles this month were the dogxim, Y chromosome and astrocytes ones which could get summarized nicely very briefly at the bottom while this one should be included but was hard to summarize that briefly.