Yang Wen-li

Blinken is shaking his head. Gonna go down as another McNamara. All his work undone because US foriegn policy is guided by Weltpolitik as opposed to Realpolitik.

Major issue for the US is the Arab world reconciling with Iran. This situation undoes the past nearly 50 years of containment. Iran and it’s proxies are now effectively free to do as they please and Saudia Arabia will turn a blind eye.

Never forgive, never forget.

The future is bleak. I definetly see the pathway to formal NATO intervention, but that would destroy any ability make the eastern pivot.

The escalation is far from over, with f16s and God knows what else on the way, but it seems the US is trying to pivot while maintaining face, and thus soft power. I expect the conflict will eventually be “frozen”, atleast until Russian stockpiles are ready for a proper offensive.

Unfortunately I am more concerned about the political consequences of doing such. WWIII may happen or not, but it’s almost a certainty that facist and facist adjacent types will benefit greatly in the coming elections.

Le Pen is basically a shoe in at this point, Macron has so thoroughly burned through electoral trust. Of course Meloni already won, and undoubtedly will be strengthened. Trump is very likely to return to the Whitehouse, and how he handles the situation is unclear. It’ll be interesting to see how the Torries fair in a general since Labour isn’t doing too well either. AFD is still on the rise, even in South America many bourgeois are reacting to the economic fallout by couping soc dems like Castillo. Freaking we might see another Fujimori facist leading Peru again.

It feels like the 1930s all over again. Facist rise as liberals dogmatically enforce the very capitalism that creates facism. Whether WWIII arrives from facism, I am not sure.

Perhaps a bit individualist of me, but I do feel there are many that have turned this into a pet project. Especially Biden and Blinken, their careers now live or die by at least stretching the conflict and maintaining its intensity.

They have no choice, to backdown now would be to admit to the warhawk faction they are totally incapable. It’ll be Afghanistan pullout 2.0 but 10x politically devastating. The Republicans would riot.

Isn’t this deflation?

I believe .ml is just the domain name. Apparently Mali?

Would lemmy.ml ever cut federation with lemmygrad? I feel like your average reddit refugee just joins lemmy.ml and calls it good. Plus the devs seem against segregating lemmygrad.

The only “crime” the DOJ is alleging is that they violated the Forigen Agents Act by not discolosing funds they may have received from the FSB, or through FSB agents. Not too sure since they constantly claim the Russian nationals that funded ASP were FSB.

Not even clear that this would stand in court since these talking points have been said for decades now. If the DOJ is arguing the intent is due to an “unresonable” sum of money being accepted, in the same way an “unreasonable” amount of drugs must mean intent to distribute, then that would be totally discredited by the fact that these are not new rhetorical talking points.

Imo very weak case, I wouldn’t hold my breath for a non guilty verdict, but this is not going to be easy for the DOJ to prosecute.