IMHO, the real reason why they were able to locate Nasrallah is the combination of moles/traitors within Hezbollah and Hezbollah slipping at an inopportune time.
I would not overlook the possibility that the moles/opsec slipups might have also been on the Iranian side.
On the mugrimm arc, now
I don’t really think this is the right way to view this.
There simply aren’t enough air-to-surface missiles in the entire Western arsenal to defeat Iran. They would have to run bombing missions. The F-16 combat radius fully loaded is not enough to run bombing missions from Israel without mid-air refueling. Iran might not have the ability to shoot down an F-16 easily, but it does probably have the capability to shoot down the IDF’s tankers.
The issue with conducting an IDF bombing mission against Iran is that it requires the IDF to fly through someone’s airspace. Iran might not have S-400s, but Russia does have S-400s in Syria. Should the choose to, they could move them out of Latakia and into a position that would make flying through Syria a bad choice.
That leaves the IDF flying through at least Jordanian airspace, which brings us to the real threat that Iran has. Anyone who let’s the IDF operate on the ground or in their airspace is immediately putting a target on their back. Iran might not have an air force capable of making Jordan pay for letting the IDF use their airspace, but what it does have is a bunch of rockets and ballistic missile they can use to launch a missile barrage at it. That also applies even more so to any of the Gulf states/Azerbaijan that would let the US or the IDF run bombing missions from one of their airbases. Iran has more than enough fire power to destroy the oil production of the GCC and the Azeris, bringing global economy (and the Israeli economy and war machine in the case of the Azeris and the BTC pipeline) to a screeching halt in the process. What happens to the UAE when they can’t produce/refine and foreigners are too afraid to go spend money in Dubai? What happens to KSA when their refineries are blown up and NATO is too busy to repel an Ansarallah invasion?
That leaves you with US aircraft carriers as the option with the least amount of blowback on the West’s comprador states. I feel like this sub has heard enough about the potential weaknesses of those vis-a-vis the Millennium Challenge and Iran’s preparations to deal with the US Navy through the US of fast attack torpedo and missile boats.
I’ve talked before about how there are options between sitting on their hands and total war, and Iran needs to start engaging in some of those things. This is why. The US and it’s allies, to some extent or another, are afraid of this war really exploding, but they know that Iran is afraid of it, too. They have betting (and so far correctly) that they play chicken with Iran, leveraging its fear of regional war to get them to do what the US/Israel wants, be that coordinate “retaliations” with the people they are supposed to be retaliating against, or holding off on retaliating against Israel entirely with promises they have no intention of following through on. Iran has to show the West that it is not afraid to climb the ladder of escalation, and to drag the rest of the region into chaos with it.
: “If you guys don’t vote for KKKamala, Trump is gonna give Netanyahu 4000lb bunker-busters that also spray holy water that burns Muslims on the way down”
Totally dude, adding this deal to the existing JCPOA that is definitely in enforcement will be great for Iran. I heard Biden offered to seller Iran a bridge over the Bering Strait, too.
I don’t know enough about Iranian twitter to know what’s real and what’s isn’t, but he should probably be more worried about the “hardliners” taking him out, first. Seeing some people accuse him of intentionally selling out Hezbollah and even giving Israel the location of IRGC commanders in Lebanon and Syria. Obviously that’s all speculation and might not even be from legitimate sources, but it’s the type of accusation that leads your head to be loosed from your neck, if the sentiment is real and popular enough.
Israel struck the Kola intersection in Beirut, which is well outside of the southern Shia neighborhoods, and is the deepest they have struck into Lebanon in decades.
The Biden-Harris admin has only mobilized ~1500 federal agents and seems to be in the process of bungling this worse than Bush bungled Katrina. They sent 700 members of the TN National Guard to the Middle East yesterday.
Never accept American diplomacy unless it’s backed with physical or financial assets held in escrow by someone like China that will turn them over to you if America breaks the deal.
Watching Iran bumble it’s way through this war, I have to imagine is what it felt like to watch the post-Stalin Soviets abandon their allies one by one to fight Western dogs that got unlimited backing, out of the fear of a nuclear war with the West, until there was no one left and they were effectively encircled. All of the people driving NATO policy are the same freaks who were either in charge when the Cold War was happening, or were being groomed by them. I desperately hope they have finally learned their lesson that the West will not negotiate with them in good faith.
I recently had to inform someone who is probably going to be a GOP congressman in the next decade that RATM is communist. Dude literally had no idea. Most people just like bangers and don’t examine the lyrics.
They are trying to clear the path for a war with Iran. If they start a war directly and immediately with Iran, Israel and the US will have to contend with Hamas/PIJ, Hezbollah, Ansarallah, the Iraqi Resistance, and Syria to some extent, in addition to Iran. These groups basically function for Iran in a similar manner to how the Iron Dome functions for Israel. Similar to how Hezbollah has been methodically attacking Iron Dome infrastructure in the North to render it inoperable, Israel and the US are undertaking a similar strategy in an attempt to render Iran’s “Iron Dome” inoperable in order to clear a path for more direct attacks on Iran without the threat of counter-attacks/retaliation from multiple fronts. Biden and Harris have both been pretty clear about the need to eliminate “all threats to Israel” in the Middle East, and that is absolutely coded language for “Iran and their allies”. Bibi explicitly said as much with those deranged maps he showed at the UN the other day.
Wow, that’s a huge honor. Safe travels to Iraq.
I don’t really think it’s music. The most popular music when I was growing up was as misogynist as any redpill influencer is today. Eminem was one of the biggest music artists when I was a youth, and he wasn’t some shining example how to act. I think music artists are still fairly influential on young men, people like Travis Scott, 21 Savage, Post Malone, even Kanye West still draw big stadium/arena crowds of young men. I think there are bigger structural issues as play.
They aren’t cheap, just racist. The State Department is paying to charter flights out of Israel for US citizens.
They pulled that Labour candidate from Clacton after he started closing the gap against Nigel Farage.
Sorry for the double comment, but you should take a screenshot instead of linking to the post. Google increases a page’s ranking in its algorithm the more it’s linked to by other sites.
Absolutely, I’m just wondering who it was.
The only country that seems to actually understand the language the US speaks is the DPRK.