Westminster VI (18 June):

Labour 46% (+2) Conservative 26% (-4) Liberal Democrat 12% (-1) Reform UK 7% (+1) Green 6% (+2) Scottish National Party 3% (–) Other 1% (–)

Changes +/- 11 June

  • that_ginger_oneOPEnglish
    5·
    1 year ago

    Flavible:

    Party Pred % Pred Seats
    CON 26.0% 149
    LAB 46.0% 398
    LD 12.0% 46
    REFUK 7.0% 0
    Green 6.0% 1
    SNP 3% 32
    PC 0.5% 3

    Electoral Calculus (2023 Boundaries’):

    Party 2019 Votes 2019 Seats Pred Votes Gains Losses Net Change Pred Seats
    CON 44.7% 375 26.0% 0 270 -270 105
    LAB 33.0% 198 46.0% 271 0 +271 469
    LIB 11.8% 8 12% 8 0 +14 22
    Reform 2.1% 0 7% 0 0 +0 0
    Green 2.8% 1 6% 0 0 +0 1
    SNP 4.0% 48 3.7% 0 15 -15 33
    PlaidC 0.5% 2 0.4% 1 1 +0 2
    Other 1.1% 0 0.1% 0 0 +0 0
    N.Ire - 18 - 0 0 +0 18

    EC is hard without seperate Scotland figures, 3% is lower than it automatically give them. and the poll numbers rounded add up to 100.5 so even more screwy