A projection of how the election results would look if we used Additional Member System (AMS), like in Scotland and Wales.
| Party | AMS | FPTP | Seat change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Labour | 236 | 411 | +175 |
| LibDems | 77 | 71 | -6 |
| Green | 42 | 4 | -38 |
| SNP | 18 | 9 | -9 |
| Plaid Cymru | 4 | 4 | 0 |
| Reform | 94 | 5 | -89 |
| Conservative | 157 | 121 | -36 |
| Northern Ireland | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| Other | 4 | 6 | +2 |
Yeah, I don’t think that coalition situation is likely to happen. Under FPTP, it’s too risky for the voters to try manufacture.
That said, if their popularity massively tanks and polls show they’d lose big, I could see Labour introducing it just before the next election. It would be a huge boost to their popularity.
I think it’s only Labour than can introduce it given the size and history of their party with this country’s electorate. I also think they never will, which is why it won’t ever happen. Call me cynical but I just can’t see Labour (or the Tories) abandoning their all or nothing election strategy that has served them since 1830 something.
LibDems were able to get the AV ref from the Tories. Was worthless. But minority partners in a Labour coalition could get better