• @HumanPenguin
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    3 months ago

    Looking at polling data. Your safe seat really might not be so safe. When polling gets to the low 20s everything is up for grabs. The 2 party advantages start to collasps at the 20s. Add to that the 3rd of the big 3 is around 10%.

    Then the ability for any of the smaller parties to change things a little seems less extream. So voting habits can change Drematically.

    With 1 party at about 40% and no other seeming like the obvious only option to beat them. Absolutely every seat starts to look at the polling at home. People who don’t like labour are less willing to vote them to avoid the tories. Meaning many smaller parties may get a push from left of labour.

    But much more the case. People who would normally vote tories to keep Labour out. Have to start thinking tactically. And will think about how to reduce the labour lead from a land slide while placing People who they may turn to and compromise with if weak. When so many parties can potentially gain seats from losing tories. Any one non labour MP may make the difference in a weak labour government.