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What does it even matter if you can’t exchange it?
You can exchange it over the counter and it also matters in relation to other currencies.
They’ll catch up over the next few months as we see a sharp decline in the value of the US dollar and Trump ending sanctions against them.
Only if they actually get a peace deal. Otherwise Russia still has EU sanctions and a war going on.
Maybe I should convert some freedom dollars to rubles and wait for the orange man to make them valuable again in the next few months…
Well this is the most wall st bets sort of thing I have seen on lemmy.
Why would you think anything will go up under orange man? The guy who is kinda famous for being an isolationist? The guy using tariffs to wage economic war on the USs closest allies?
I mean with the same sort of logic, buy South African Rands.
If you trade your USD for other currencies and the value of the dollar goes down against those currencies your get more dollars when you sell those other currencies for dollars. Thus this means that the value of the other currencies went up.
You get around 100 Rubles for every US dollar let’s say you buy 1000 Rubles with 10 dollars, if the value of the dollar goes to 50 Rubles (meaning the value of the Rubles went up) then you trade those 1000 Rubles back to dollars you’d get 20 US dollars.
The “them” in the comment you replied to, I think it refers to the rubles, specifically relative to the original dollars.
Yes, it was not unclear.
That might be a viable strategy if those were the only two currencies. (But even then, the freedom dollars are still likely to stay in better shape - since the USA is not currently an international pariah or financing a failed invasion.)
Seems kind of a no-brainer if that’s what you actually believe is going to happen. It’s one thing to say one believes something but I’m way more convinced when they’re actually willing to bet money for it.
I don’t think you can just get Rubles with all the sanctions.
Fair point!
Yes, I expected to at least find a financial instrument tied to a USD - RUB value, like a CFD, but I couldn’t find any.
Heeeeeey.
This is how folks get rich right here. Crazy ideas like this.
Well, that or they lose everything. Let me know if you do it so I can cheer you on.
What’s your horizon / timeline? If you can wait 20 years it may payoff handsomely. But who knows how the world is gonna go until then…
uh oh
some truble
They’ll just suspend trading again, likely until trump lifts sanctions. Value can’t fall if it can’t be compared in the market.
But currencies aren’t traded only on one exchange, but all over, surely you can’t suspend trading for currencies?
They can restrict official trading, I thought they already did something like that before, maybe not. Besides, market is mostly made by large players, what people can trade in the banks will make less of an impact.
Lost like 7 percent today (or percentage points, funnily about the same here).
Whoa do “percent” and “percentage points” actually refer to different things?
Yeah, “percentage points” is used to refer to a difference between two percentages.
For example, let’s say some company previously held 25% of the market, but grew and is now holding 50% of the market. The company’s market share actually doubled in size, which we could call an increase of 100%. Or, looking at it another way, because they grew from 25% to 50%, you can call it an increase of 25 percentage points.
Yes. If you have a half full battery it’s at 50% full.
If the charge goes up by 50% you get a 75% full battery.
If the charge goes up by 50 percentage points it goes up to 100%
More like russian rubble , amirite?
They’re called low hanging fruit for a reason
That is terRuble
I’ll never understand how economies work, I just assume it’s all imaginary money.
Think of it as demand, right now people want Russian money less.
Effectively, no one can buy Russian goods so no one wants to buy Russia currency.
As such, it has low value as everyone is trying to get rid of something that is worthless to them, and a willing to accept a lower price to do so.
Or using high school economics- lots of suppliers, low number of buyers, value drops.
You’re basically right anyway.
Speaking basically they are right.
Speaking at medium understanding they are wrong.
Speaking at advanced understanding they are absolutely correct.
All moneyis imaginary. Economics works by allowing some people with a lot of imaginary money to exploit (the planet and) people that depends on them by giving miniscule amounts of imaginary money, just enough to survive.
Speculative economics is literally definitionally imaginary. In this case, it’s because of real factors with Russia’s GDP - the massive amount of trade embargoes on Russia meaning they can’t really import or export a lot of the stuff they would have made money on, as well as them grinding all their young men (who would otherwise be working) into a pulp.
Just a little bit lower and it will be cheaper than the toilet paper it’s made from, as it should be.
I know we all want to believe Russia’s economy is way worse than ever and almost back in the stone age by now, but if you look at the long term, unfortunately it’s not that dramatic…
Its true its not that dramatic on its own but this is after implementing a ton of measures to prop it up and cranking up the interest rate. The Ruble is struggling just to stand still and Putin is running out of ways to prop it up.
Perfect crop, comrade 🤡
lies, damned lies, and statistics
You are both correct. A decade is a perfectly acceptable time frame by which to judge forex, however the two decade window fills in additional context.
True, but the way I see it, a graph shouldn’t be cropped and left without a labeled y axis, especially when making a point about long term-ness.
One narrative is about effectiveness of sanctions, specifically the ones levied at the start of 2022. Zooming out beyond 2015 doesn’t really change that narrative (no appreciable effect tied with a change that happened in 2022).
The other narrative relates to Russia’s big picture strategy. Undoubtedly by this measure, Russia is underperforming. We might conclude that the sanctions was effective only once, in 2014. Or just a bad economy for another reason that spurred war.
This guy graphs
The issue is the crop has obliterated the starting value
So… basically when Crimea got stolen? I forget if that was also US sanctions, my selections memory remembers we were too soft on them back then.
☝️
Yeah but this clearly isn’t as a consequence of the war
Crimea was invaded in 2014.
Please tell us what happened in 2014…
A ten year steady decline in the currency of a “world power” is no big deal. 👍
Yeah, the message I get is that a 10% one-day decline doesn’t look like much on the tail end of 70% losses. Worthless paper is worthless.
Russia has the same economy as Italy. We take them only seriously because of their nuclear weapons.
As an Italian… Not sure if proud or embarrassed…
I’m just amazed your comment made it through your clown government internet filter.
You’ve got way better food though. How many Russian restaurants do you see around the world?
I had one in the city that going by reviews was quite good
Now it’s a very nice Chinese restaurant.
Sorry….😢
Actually, it’s not. But it’s not a world power either.
And a large decline in a single day, smaller than that steady decline in a decade can be quite a big deal. Or can be nothing. Nobody knows.
According to some social media bubbles, it should have dropped to 1/10 in the past 2 years.
According to some social media bubbles the world is flat and Xenu populated the earth
Ah, the kremlin talking points “look your measures doesn’t work!!1! (So can you remove them, ok?)”
Nobody thought the ruble would crash one or two years ago.
But well, now is now and it looks like the funds have been used up, the inflation is at its maximum utility etc etc and now it’s crash time!
No fair you’re not allowed to provide context
What? I don’t get how it disproves the graph from the other commenter or anything else
Edit: Oh I thought they were saying the first graph depicts it as worse than it is but it was the other way around which makes much more sense
The other commenter cropped their image right before the last massive drop in 2015
By inverting the transaction it more clearly shows the trend between the two currencies.
Maybe if you don’t understand basic math? Those charts are just reciprocals
That is literally illegal on the internet.
Why would you argue with a banana? You’re obviously not a banana.
Perfect crop, comrade 🤡
They cropped out the banana.
“comrade”?
Are you implying that Russia is in any way more communist or less capitalist than the US?
Cause you’d be wrong.I think he implies that strategic cropping like that seems a lot like Russian propaganda.
If I call a colleague a “cumrade” I’m not implying they are some sort of cum-flavoured soda drink.
Why’d they add coconut?
Oh, so you know “Cumrade Cockonut” too??
Small world :D
I mean, it being as low as it once was doesn’t mean it is going great.
An interest rate of 21% is also not an indication of things going great.
Your graph lacks any context. What is the Y axis?
It literally says in the title of the chart it’s rubles per dollar graphed over time
It’s pretty dramatic. Interest rates, currency in freefall, no exports, imports too expensive, morgages failing, salaries dropping, brain drain, …
It’s pretty bad. They have some ways to go, the war chest is not empty, they can continue to print money they can hold of for another two years maybe.
We will see what trump does. But they are in a world of hurt no matter what happens next.
Their economy was never good. Many more people living there than in Germany, much larger country than Germany… And still economically worse than Germany…
They have the same economy as Italy.
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That’s the official trading rate. The black market rate is 1 ruble for an empty snickers wrapper.
I thought it was yogurt tops. Damn you inflation!!!
Reminds me of that bot I saw on one of the German speaking communities. Each time to say an ammount of money in Euro, it would then for example reply with “1 Euro, 2 DMark, 4 OstMark, 40 Ostmark auf dem Schwarzmarkt”. (“1 Euro used to be 2 German Mark, used to be 4 East German Mark, and 40 East German Mark on the black market”)
Holy shit 115 rubles per dollar?
That’s like 0.0086 USD
Looks like BTC at this point haha
BTC was $95k when I checked a few hours ago.
Any indication of what changed?
It’s probably not anything that recently changed. Economies are like rubber bands. They can stretch and run for a while in a deficit or without having proper upside cash flow while in a wartime economy, but eventually all of that has to come back. Russia has just had compounding economic problems (because they’re stupid) and now the hurting is starting to add up.
Russia is running out of reserves. They managed to boost the Ruble once before when they forced their remaining trading partners to switch to it. Now that they bought up pretty much everything there is, the value will continue go down. I’ve seen a lot of people predict that this would happen in 2025, so this may be the beginning.
Russia failed in forcing the trading partners to switch to rubel, but the Russian companies are forced to convert earnings into rubel. At the same time most big export companies in Russia are government owned(Gazprom, Rosneft and other resource exporters). So this way the Russian government gets more money, but it increases inflation.
What does this really mean in relation to a country that regularly pretends reality is malleable?
We made a new currency, it’s all good, we will pay you with it instead!
Pretty much everyone including notoriously shady Chinese banks have stopped doing business with them and are no longer handing out loans. You can bullshit your way through all sorts of things but even for the most corrupt institutions the fun stops at “there’s no money”.
I guess the situation comes down to assets at that point, tanks, planes, boats… but, then, those are kinda being blown up, so, I dunno, Russia lol.
US announced new sanctions on Gazprombank. The free-fall is fear Russia will be unable to collect revenues for exported gas, which is a huge swathe of their GDP.
The value of the ruble. It’s right there in the graph.
I’m in tears
Prepare for trouble !
And make it ruble!
